- The Twins are -235 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- White Sox / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | CHSN | MLBN
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-220) on Thursday, April 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the White Sox are 5-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 11-13 ATS.
White Sox vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 0-1, 2.82 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-2, 7.28 ERA
White Sox vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -118 | O 8 -115 | +180 |
| Twins | -1.5 -102 | U 8 -105 | -220 |
White Sox vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+10.60 Units / 177% ROI)
- Brooks Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+15.70 Units / 392% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+9.20 Units / 115% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 75% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 away games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 11-13 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -11.21% ROI).
- 5-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -45.63% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -12.17% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 3.4% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 11-13 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -7.36% ROI).
- 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -27.6% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -16.01% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 8% ROI
Twins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Josh Palacios (CWS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Twins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Palacios (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Luke Keaschall (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
| Shane Smith (CWS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Smith has a strike rate of just 58% (107/184) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — ninth Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed a slugging percentage of just .080 (2 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Shane Smith over the past seven days (1 game) — tied for lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Shane Smith has allowed an OPS of just .509 (90 PA’s) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 93rd Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (95 Total Bases / 171 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .403 — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (16 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .304 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .339 (37 GB hits out of 109 GBs) against Chris Paddack in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (9/20) over the past seven days (1 game) — 3rd lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 3-66 (.043) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The White Sox are just 91-12 (.883) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 19-59 (.244) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Twins (19th best runs allowed) today.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 1-82 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are just 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (30th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 0-10 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Twins are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .081.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 31% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (6,279 PA’s) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .222 (176 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Twins hitters have struck out in 33% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Twins are batting just .154 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Twins hitters have 14 extra-base hits out of 25 total hits (56%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers won only 6% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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