- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Athletics
- Yankees vs Athletics Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Yankees / Athletics TV Channel: YES | NSCA
The New York Yankees (-140) visit Sutter Health Park to take on the Oakland Athletics (+115) on Sunday, May 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.
This season, the Yankees are 22-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are ATS.
Yankees vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 0-1, 4.79 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Severino 1-3, 3.60 ERA
Yankees vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +118 | O 10.5 -105 | -140 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -145 | U 10.5 -115 | +115 |
Yankees vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Yankees Best Bets Today:
Athletics Best Bets Today:
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 19-20 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 1.98% ROI).
- 22-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -6.43% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.83 Units / -1.93% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Athletics vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Shea Langeliers (ATH) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Athletics vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson (ATH) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Shea Langeliers (ATH) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Athletics vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shea Langeliers (ATH) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Athletics vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino (ATH) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2023 season is 383.1 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 398.7
Clarke Schmidt struck out 32% (58/184) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt had a strike rate of just 59% (274/465) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2024 season was 382.7 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino located 42% of his pitches inside (319/761) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Severino located 40% of his pitches inside (800/2,025) in non-two strike counts in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Luis Severino has a in-zone of just 15% (55/376) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (10/74) against Luis Severino on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 89-29 (.754) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Yankees were 50-31 (.617) on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Athletics are 13-7 (.650) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Athletics are just 25-118 (.175) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Athletics are just 84-138 (.378) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Athletics are just 137-180 (.432) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of its PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters are averaging just 3.54 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics batted just .216 at home in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Athletics batted just .223 in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a in-zone of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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