- The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Yankees vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Brewers TV Channel: YES | BSWI | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-130) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+105) on Saturday, April 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Yankees are 17-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-12 ATS.
Yankees vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 1-1, 2.03 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Joe Ross 1-2, 4.05 ERA
Yankees vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -130 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -115 | +105 |
Yankees vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+16.50 Units / 118% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.90 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 12-15 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -7.86% ROI).
- 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 3.62% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -25.13% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 16.53% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 13-12 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -3.38% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 35.84% ROI
- 15-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 15.99% ROI
- 10-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -23.2% ROI
Brewers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Brewers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Brewers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (58/115) this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an OBP of .350 (60 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon had a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (9/25) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (58/115) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (16/40) against Joe Ross with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ross has allowed an OBP of .417 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 11th Percentile.
Joe Ross has thrown his slider 49% of the time (41/83) with runners in scoring position this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Joe Ross has allowed an OBP of .417 (60 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .307 — third Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 48-49 (.495) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 60-17 (.779) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
The Yankees are 113-85 (.571) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 29-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are 26-45 (.366) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 40-90 (.308) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters have grounded into 32 double plays in 204 opportunities (16%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Yankees are batting just .246 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Yankees are batting just .204 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .783 (854 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Brewers hitters have 155 extra-base hits out of 580 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have drawn 19 walks in 135 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Brewers are batting .298 on fastballs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Yankees have won 61% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have won 60% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (844.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
Brewers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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