- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Yankees vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Brewers TV Channel: YES | BSWI
The New York Yankees (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+115) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Yankees are 18-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-13 ATS.
Yankees vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 2-1, 2.97 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 0-1, 1.80 ERA
Yankees vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -110 | -135 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -110 | +115 |
Yankees vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 away games (+15.50 Units / 103% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+14.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 27 games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games (+18.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+8.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 13-15 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -3.52% ROI).
- 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 5.95% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -20.95% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 12.4% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 13-13 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -7.55% ROI).
- 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 30.92% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.35 Units / 18.9% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -26.12% ROI
Brewers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Brewers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 34% of batters they faced (26/77 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 18% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 60% of the time (139/232) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (44/76) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 66% of the time (67/102) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has limited playing time.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 118-30 (.797) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees are 80-27 (.748) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees are 37-14 (.725) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 47-37 (.560) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Brewers are 74-12 (.860) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Brewers are 29-1 (.967) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Yankees are batting just .216 with two outs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .389 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .179 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Brewers are batting just .232 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .306 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .588 (156 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.57 (3145.1 IP) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.92 runs per game (380/97) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (844.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
Brewers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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