- The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Yankees / Diamondbacks TV Channel: MLBN | YES | DBTV
The New York Yankees (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Yankees are 4-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 3-1 ATS.
Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 10 -110 | -120 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | U 10 -110 | +100 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s game with 55.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+13.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+12.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 69% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 4-0 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 56.74% ROI).
- 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 111.25% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -75.82% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 70.59% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 45.98% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 14.29% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 42.86% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -49.41% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (150 Total Bases / 236 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson had an ERA of 8.25 (55.2 IP) at home in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .356 (84-for-236) against Ryne Nelson at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.7 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (90 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 89.8
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 111-28 (.799) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees are 57-33 (.633) after a home win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are just 137-13 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 113-25 (.819) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Diamondbacks are 20-125 (.138) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .394 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,104 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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