- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Yankees vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Diamondbacks TV Channel: YES | DBTV
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Yankees are 5-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 4-2 ATS.
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 0-0, 2.08 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 1-0, 1.35 ERA
Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 22 away games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 61% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 175 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-1 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 47.51% ROI).
- 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 69.05% ROI
- 0-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -84.17% ROI
- 5-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 80.16% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 4-2 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 19.87% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 11.43% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -6.47% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.79% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Suarez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gurriel Jr. | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Carroll | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Barnhart | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 -5000 |
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Rodon | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 14% (2/14) against Carlos Rodon this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has walked 3 of 21 batters (14%) this season — tied for 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (54/203) against Carlos Rodon since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 61% of the time (11/18) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .136 (22 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 97th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 78% (39/50) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strike rate of 78% (39/50) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly walked 25 of 207 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees were just 10-56 (.152) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees were just 9-37 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are 20-126 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Diamondbacks are just 138-13 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 122-21 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have missed on just 18% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
39% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .410 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .777 (120 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 8 double plays in 35 opportunities (23%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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