- The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Yankees vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Dodgers TV Channel: ATV
The New York Yankees (-120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) on Friday, May 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Yankees are 35-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 27-28 ATS.
Yankees vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 7-0, 1.29 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin 2-1, 4.75 ERA
Yankees vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -118 | -120 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -170 | U 9 -102 | +100 |
Yankees vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+16.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+16.40 Units / 164% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.82 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+8.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.81 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 27-28 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.87% ROI).
- 35-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 7.04% ROI
- 22-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -19.33% ROI
- 31-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.77 Units / 11.09% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-28 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -1.95% ROI).
- 34-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -2.99% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 10.06% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -17.21% ROI
Dodgers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -185 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (NYY) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Tony Gonsolin (LAD) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .188 (15-for-80) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 100th Percentile.
10 of Max Fried’s 23 breaking pitch strikeouts (43%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 43% of Tony Gonsolin’s pitches (53/122) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin allowed a BABIP of .235 in 2023 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 97th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin allowed an OPS of just .749 (78 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.088 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .262 (50-for-191) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Yankees are 53-29 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Dodgers (13th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Dodgers (13th best runs allowed) today.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Dodgers are 194-36 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 97-50 (.660) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .858 (614 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (10,625 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (6,098 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .340 (10,625 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Dodgers have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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