- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Guardians
- Yankees vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-145) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+120) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Yankees are 10-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-4 ATS.
Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 0-0, 4.66 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 0-0, 4.50 ERA
Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -105 | -145 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -115 | +120 |
Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 10.46% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 31.46% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -48.98% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 41.07% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 28.57% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 30.45% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 18.49% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -29.92% ROI
Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Clarke Schmidt’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .812 (13 Total Bases / 16 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (29/51) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Clarke Schmidt this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .245 — seventh Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .830 (39 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .414 (53-for-128) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .617 (246 Total Bases / 399 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .435 — first Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OBP of .463 (175 PA’s) versus the top of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .330 — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees were just 10-56 (.152) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees are 57-15 (.792) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 34-115 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .131.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Yankees are batting just .228 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .376 (182 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .358 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters have just 2,354 strikeouts in 12,736 PA’s (18%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Guardians vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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