- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Guardians
- Yankees vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+115) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Yankees are 10-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 8-4 ATS.
Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 1-1, 3.50 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 2-0, 4.60 ERA
Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -120 | -135 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -150 | U 9 +100 | +115 |
Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kole Calhoun has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 10.46% ROI).
- 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 31.46% ROI
- 3-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -48.98% ROI
- 9-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 41.07% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 28.57% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 30.45% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 18.49% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -29.92% ROI
Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (62/231) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (6/21) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (49/194) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (88/286) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.592 (17 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .644 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (29/50) against Logan Allen this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .457 (16 Total Bases / 35 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among in AL; League Avg: .245 — sixth Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OPS of 1.592 (17 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among in AL; League Avg: .586 — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 58-15 (.795) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees are 60-35 (.632) after a home win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 83-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Guardians are 23-124 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Guardians are 34-117 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 41% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters have drawn 80 walks in 585 PA’s (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Yankees are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,671 strikeouts in 9,202 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 58 of 528 batters (11%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Guardians have allowed 3.21 runs per game (45/14) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.
Guardians vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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