- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Guardians
- Yankees vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Yankees / Guardians TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-105) on Thursday, October 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Yankees are 99-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 84-84 ATS.
Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-5, 2.89 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-2, 2.33 ERA
Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Yankees | -1.5 +150 | O 7 +105 | -115 |
Guardians | +1.5 -185 | U 7 -125 | -105 |
Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.95 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 29 games (+31.80 Units / 110% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+10.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 83 away games (+19.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 111 games (+18.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 away games (+8.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+18.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 79 games at home (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 78 games at home (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 87-81 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 5.52% ROI).
- 99-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -3.46% ROI
- 88-74 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.15 Units / 3.32% ROI
- 74-88 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.6 Units / -12.25% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 84-84 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 0.87% ROI).
- 95-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 4.4% ROI
- 72-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.55 Units / -11.66% ROI
- 85-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 3% ROI
Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since last season is 382.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 398.5
Hitters have swung at 45% of Clarke Schmidt’s pitches (42/93) with two-strikes in his last three starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 59% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (87/451) against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt had a strike rate of just 59% (274/465) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has limited playing time.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 122-36 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 79-23 (.775) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 150-11 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Yankees are 225-16 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 147-4 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians are 90-26 (.776) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Guardians are 40-174 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 65-19 (.774) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 495 walks in 4,525 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters drew 379 walks in 3,617 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .224 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (459/12,023) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .236 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Yankees vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.