- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES
The New York Yankees (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 19-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 15-12 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 2-0, 3.56 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 3-1, 4.45 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -110 | +100 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -110 | -120 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+18.30 Units / 305% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+29.10 Units / 194% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games at home (+11.50 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 139 games (+26.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 139 games (+21.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 14-15 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.14% ROI).
- 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 8.11% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -17.06% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 8.55% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 15-12 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 20.3% ROI).
- 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 3.35% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 20.77% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -29.05% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.3 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 398.4
Clarke Schmidt has struck out 37% (18/49) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2620.8 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 2234.5 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (28/76) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .512 (21-for-41) against Grayson Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .274 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (28/76) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of .946 (65 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .701 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 22-17 (.564) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 89-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Yankees are 81-27 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees are 114-85 (.573) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 39-22 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 14-6 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 88-14 (.863) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .225 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,643 of their 7,100 plate appearances (23%) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 154 walks in 1,527 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .474 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Orioles are 42-19 (.689) against the run line (31.9% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Orioles hitters are slugging .708 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .551.
Orioles hitters have drawn 43 walks in 692 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.01 (263.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 985 of 13,164 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 69 of 1,008 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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