- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES
The New York Yankees (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+118) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 17-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 11-17 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 3-3, 3.50 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | O 9.5 -110 | -145 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -140 | U 9.5 -110 | +118 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+17.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+17.10 Units / 214% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+12.90 Units / 129% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+29.50 Units / 328% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 98% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.62 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.84 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 14-15 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 1.27% ROI).
- 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 4.15% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -6.82% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.43 Units / -1.33% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 11-17 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -18.82% ROI).
- 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -29.62% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.33% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -7.09% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trent Grisham (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Kyle Gibson (BAL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .149 (7-for-47) against Carlos Rodon in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 41% (41/101) against Carlos Rodon this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
4 of Carlos Rodon’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 3rd most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan — 93rd Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 55% (29 SO in 53 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 93rd Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 60% (1,651/2,764) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 56% (351/633) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 29% (98/340) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (352/634) with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 45-26 (.634) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Orioles (16th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 57-14 (.803) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are just 8-128 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Orioles are 73-27 (.730) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Orioles are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Orioles are just 10-14 (.417) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .508 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .233 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .207 against LHP this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
The Orioles are batting just .177 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.03 (109.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.58.
More MLB Reading:
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