- The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Orioles
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES
The New York Yankees (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 19-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 16-12 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 1-2, 3.54 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 1-2, 4.56 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -120 | -120 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | U 9.5 +100 | +100 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+17.30 Units / 247% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+28.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+12.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 138 games (+25.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 138 games (+19.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 14-16 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -4.61% ROI).
- 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 5.63% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -20.09% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 11.31% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 16-12 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 24.64% ROI).
- 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 5.64% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 16.1% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -24.84% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (269/711) against Nestor Cortes on sliders since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has a strike rate of 68% (379/556) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 89th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has not walked any of the 52 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .160 (17-for-106) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .289 (89-for-308) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .156 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (5-for-43) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 96th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of just .342 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 54-8 (.871) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Yankees are 62-17 (.785) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
The Yankees are 81-27 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 39-22 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Orioles are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,651 of their 7,137 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Yankees are batting just .218 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .391 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .448 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Orioles have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (71/1,072) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Orioles hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 95 total hits (43%) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .749 (720 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Yankees have won 57% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season is 393.5 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 215 of 3,149 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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