- The Orioles are -160 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | AMZP | MLBN
The New York Yankees (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 19-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 17-12 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 1-1, 4.02 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 3-0, 2.55 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+16.30 Units / 204% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+16.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+27.10 Units / 159% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+14.80 Units / 93% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+12.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 53% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 130 games (+25.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 135 games (+18.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 14-17 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -7.13% ROI).
- 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 12-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -22.45% ROI
- 18-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 13.83% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 17-12 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 26.57% ROI).
- 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 8.08% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 12.48% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -20.75% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has walked 9 of 41 batters (22%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 11 of 69 right-handed batters (16%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (44/123) against Luis Gil on fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 99th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 10 of 45 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (186/296) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (23/34) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (337/532) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (179/296) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Yankees are 114-86 (.570) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Yankees are 200-155 (.563) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Orioles are 39-22 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Orioles are 39-3 (.929) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,652 of their 7,170 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees have grounded into 37 double plays this season — most in MLB.
The Yankees are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Yankees hitters have 16 extra-base hits out of 77 total hits (just 21%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .333 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Orioles are 42-19 (.689) against the run line (31.9% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .345.
The Orioles have barrels in 6% of PA’s this season (71/1,107) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.75 (118.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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