- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Thursday, May 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 20-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 17-13 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 2-1, 1.93 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 2-1, 3.50 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -110 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -110 | -105 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 away games (+24.50 Units / 129% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+17.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+12.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+26.10 Units / 145% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+13.80 Units / 81% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 130 games (+25.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 135 games (+18.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 15-17 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -4.31% ROI).
- 20-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 12-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -24.89% ROI
- 19-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 16.22% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 17-13 against the Run Line (+7.65 Units / 22.8% ROI).
- 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 4.41% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 8.75% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -17.02% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (72/136) this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (72/136) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .073 (3-for-41) against Carlos Rodon over the last 14 days — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .293 (17 Total Bases / 58 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: .528 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 77% (63/82) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (11/89) against Cole Irvin over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 6% (2/32) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 12% (9/76) against Cole Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 114-86 (.570) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Yankees are 201-155 (.565) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 54-8 (.871) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 45-55 (.450) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Orioles are 39-22 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have grounded into 37 double plays in 256 opportunities (14%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Yankees are batting just .225 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .325 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Orioles hitters have grounded into 8 double plays in 201 opportunities (4%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters have drawn 48 walks in 758 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Orioles are 65-36 (.644) against the run line (20.6% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 77 of 1,109 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Yankees vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
