- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: BSUN
The New York Yankees (+145) visit Charlotte Sports Park to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Tuesday, February 27, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Port Charlotte, FL.
Last season, the Yankees were 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays were 0-2 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +145 |
| Rays | -175 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Everson Pereira has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Yankees went 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 67.8% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 66.67% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 95.24% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -100% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Rays went 0-2 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -42.86% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 97.62% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -100% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 18% (43/243) against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2588.5 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2234.5 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (16/68) against Clarke Schmidt on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 97th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell threw breaking pitches away 88% of the time (83/94) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell walked 12 of 379 batters (3%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 53% of Zack Littell’s pitches (710/1,330) in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Littell had a strike rate of 69% (920/1,330) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were just 11-41 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Yankees are 44-48 (.478) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 108-28 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays were 71-13 (.845) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters slugged .445 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wandy Peralta (New York Yankees): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Calf, Out
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