- The Yankees are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: YES | FSUN
The New York Yankees (-120) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+100) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 12-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-13 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 1-3, 5.48 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 1-0, 0.60 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Rays | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.95 Units / 149% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+17.70 Units / 177% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 85% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 73% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.30 Units / 68% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 95 of their last 176 games (+14.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 away games (+12.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 away games (+2.10 Units / 2% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 96 of their last 162 games (+25.41 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 90 of their last 162 games (+20.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 94 of their last 162 games (+18.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 10-9 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 14.08% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 10.22% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 12.38% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -19.1% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 6-13 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -37.19% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -20.98% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 2.91% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (166/474) against Carlos Rodon in the 2024 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Carlos Rodon when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (86/269) against Carlos Rodon in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (85 Total Bases / 155 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — fourth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (116/229) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has had second base stolen on him 6 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OBP of just .067 (15 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 99th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 64% of the time (84/131) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 54-12 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Yankees are 54-34 (.614) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Yankees are 85-25 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Rays are 12-135 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 141-8 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Rays were 16-64 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 250 walks in 2,098 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .462 (91 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .669 (5,147 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters had an OBP of just .299 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 82 of 703 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have picked-off 2 runners from first base this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 44% against the Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 930 of 12,710 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% against the Rays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays pitchers have walked 46 of 692 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in 2023 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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