- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: YES | BSUN
The New York Yankees (-125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 25-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 16-22 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 3-1, 3.50 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -125 |
| Rays | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -115 | +105 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 20 away games (+23.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+12.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+8.00 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+17.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 19-20 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 2.37% ROI).
- 25-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 8.76% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -16.31% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 7.75% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 16-22 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -12.69% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -15.4% ROI
- 21-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 5.52% ROI
- 17-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -14.8% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Harold Ramirez (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has walked 8 of 63 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.6 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of 1.232 (40 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .617 — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 36% (19/53) against Clarke Schmidt this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.014 (72 Total Bases / 71 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .617 — 0 Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (15/73) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (27/160) against Taj Bradley on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Taj Bradley allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.2 MPH (290 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — fifth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 121-32 (.791) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees are 87-5 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Yankees are 64-19 (.771) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 14-31 (.311) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays are 9-71 (.112) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 7-17 (.292) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Yankees hitters have put 44% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Yankees are batting just .216 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,726 of their 7,458 plate appearances (23%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting just .199 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .268 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Yankees have won 60% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Yankees have won 62% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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