- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: YES | MLBN | BSUN
The New York Yankees (-135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 26-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 17-23 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 3-1, 2.92 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander 1-1, 4.91 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -135 |
| Rays | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -115 | +115 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+20.40 Units / 120% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 40 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 away games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 away games (+12.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 13 games at home (+9.15 Units / 70% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 20-21 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 2.89% ROI).
- 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 8.22% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -15.74% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 7.16% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 17-23 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -12.86% ROI).
- 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -14.81% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 5.01% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -14.29% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Alexander (TB) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has walked 24 of 153 batters (16%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .064 (5-for-78) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .168 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .064 (5-for-78) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 24 of 153 batters (16%) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Alexander has allowed a slugging percentage of .392 (65 Total Bases / 166 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .239 — second Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (238/324) since last season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 61% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (15/110) against Tyler Alexander on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Tyler Alexander has walked 2 of 98 left-handed batters (2%) since last season — best among AL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 22-18 (.550) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 121-32 (.791) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees are 206-157 (.567) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 67-39 (.632) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 14-31 (.311) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Rays are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 7-17 (.292) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have put 45% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Yankees are batting just .217 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .396 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Yankees hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .269 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays hitters have 160 strikeouts in 487 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Yankees have won 57% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 948 of 13,459 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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