- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Yankees vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Yankees / Red Sox TV Channel: FOX
The New York Yankees (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Yankees are 60-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 48-54 ATS.
Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-5, 3.53 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 6-8, 3.38 ERA
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | O 9.5 -105 | +100 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -115 | -120 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+22.80 Units / 207% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 43 games (+17.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+14.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+25.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 71 games (+12.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.34 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 71 games (+8.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+11.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-51 against the Run Line (+9.1 Units / 7.4% ROI).
- 60-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -2.62% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 3.45% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.35 Units / -12.45% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 48-54 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -10.08% ROI).
- 55-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 1.69% ROI
- 49-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.99% ROI
- 48-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -4.98% ROI
Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (57/329) against Marcus Stroman this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 27% of batters they faced (68/248 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 25 of 219 left-handed batters (11%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 10th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of .462 (73 Total Bases / 158 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 13th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 77% (240/312) this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (39/124) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 69% (1,215/1,755) this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has not walked any of the 36 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 104-33 (.759) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees are 30-7 (.811) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Yankees are 11-15 (.423) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 3-113 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Red Sox are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 34-6 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .759.
The Red Sox are just 52-171 (.233) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 334 strikeouts in 1,161 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are batting .262 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,734 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Red Sox are batting .271 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 267 of 3,811 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox have allowed 8.17 runs per game (49/6) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 161 of 2,345 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
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