- The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Red Sox TV Channel: YES | NESN | MLBN
The New York Yankees (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Friday, June 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Yankees are 42-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 34-35 ATS.
Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough 3-1, 4.17 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 6-4, 2.37 ERA
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+15.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.10 Units / 278% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+15.70 Units / 262% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.65 Units / 109% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 67 games (+10.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.12 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+4.01 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.71 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 71% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 32-35 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 42-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 5.31% ROI
- 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -10.67% ROI
- 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.07 Units / 2.78% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 34-35 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 0.4% ROI).
- 34-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.86 Units / -11.65% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.67 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.2% ROI
Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -285 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet (BOS) | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +110 |
| Ryan Yarbrough (NYY) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Yarbrough allowed an OBP of just .176 (142 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .132 (12-for-91) against Ryan Yarbrough in the 2024 season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has a strikeout rate of just 28% (39 SO in 139 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 94.6 — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 38% (151 SO in 402 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 34% (319 SO in 947 PAs) since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has allowed an OBP of just .173 (578 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 97th Percentile.
Garrett Crochet has struck out 50% (19/38) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 71-44 (.617) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
The Yankees were 50-31 (.617) on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 4-170 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox are just 7-82 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox are just 46-166 (.217) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .852 (748 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Yankees hitters are slugging .461 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .372 in hitter’s counts since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .969 (161 PA’s) against LHP this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
Red Sox hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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