- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Yankees vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Red Sox TV Channel: ESPN
The New York Yankees (-140) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+115) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Yankees are 50-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 33-38 ATS.
Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 6-2, 2.83 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-6, 3.49 ERA
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | O 9 -115 | -140 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -140 | U 9 -105 | +115 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+18.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 37 games (+17.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+16.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.60 Units / 312% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+13.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 48 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Rob Refsnyder has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- David Hamilton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 39 games (+23.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 39 games (+23.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+20.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.54 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 73 games (+17.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 71 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 44-29 against the Run Line (+19.85 Units / 22.66% ROI).
- 50-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.55 Units / 16.29% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.25% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 33-38 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -11.65% ROI).
- 36-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.72% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.95 Units / -10.19% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 3% ROI
Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +130 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 56% of the time (295/522) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 75% of the time (523/699) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 58% (218/375) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 55% (99/180) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (29/88) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (36/116) against Kutter Crawford this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .262 (11-for-42) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 84th Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 68% (862/1,276) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 89th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Yankees are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Yankees are 55-54 (.505) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .365.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 1-30 (.032) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Red Sox are just 48-164 (.226) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Red Sox are just 4-170 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 42-70 (.375) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .738 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .555.
Yankees hitters are slugging .452 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .769 (2,777 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Yankees hitters are slugging .437 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 215 strikeouts in 747 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Red Sox are batting .270 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have 54 strikeouts in 182 PA’s (30%) against LHP over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Yankees have won 56% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Yankees pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 189 of 2,641 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.29 (295.1 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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