- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Yankees vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Royals TV Channel: YES | BSKC
The New York Yankees (-145) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Yankees are 47-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-26 ATS.
Yankees vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 5-2, 3.04 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 4-2, 2.76 ERA
Yankees vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | O 9 +100 | -145 |
| Royals | +1.5 -130 | U 9 -120 | +120 |
Yankees vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 32 games (+19.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 34 games (+19.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+18.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 34 games (+18.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 44 games (+12.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+10.00 Units / 250% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 34 games (+22.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 34 games (+22.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 37 games (+21.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games (+18.09 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 68 games (+17.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.39 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 41-27 against the Run Line (+19.05 Units / 23.23% ROI).
- 47-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.9 Units / 17.93% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -9.95% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.47% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 41-26 against the Run Line (+9.79 Units / 10.41% ROI).
- 39-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 15.43% ROI
- 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -10.11% ROI
- 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.38% ROI
Royals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -400 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Royals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Rizzo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Royals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Royals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Brady Singer (KC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his breaking pitches away 74% of the time (280/380) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 52% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 14 of 117 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastball away 56% of the time (275/487) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 58% (204/352) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (69/111) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (169/277) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown his slider 44% of the time (482/1,101) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 8-5 (.615) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Yankees are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .060.
The Yankees are 6-13 (.316) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .155.
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 18-92 (.164) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 23-51 (.311) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are just 15-30 (.333) after a road win since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting .331 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (4,127 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .393 (306 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Royals have won just 48% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Yankees have won 67% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 25% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.88 (609.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 23% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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