- The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Royals
- Yankees vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Yankees / Royals TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max
The New York Yankees (-155) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+125) on Thursday, October 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Yankees are 96-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 94-73 ATS.
Yankees vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 8-5, 3.53 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 13-8, 3.45 ERA
Yankees vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -105 | -155 |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -115 | +125 |
Yankees vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 48 games (+16.09 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 46 games (+23.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+16.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+14.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 108 games (+19.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 82 away games (+18.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 82 away games (+7.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 32 games (+16.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 163 games (+14.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 163 games (+6.70 Units / 3% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 84-81 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 3.73% ROI).
- 96-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 87-72 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.3 Units / 4% ROI
- 72-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.4 Units / -12.93% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 94-73 against the Run Line (+10.4 Units / 4.62% ROI).
- 89-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 2.23% ROI
- 70-92 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.75 Units / -16.83% ROI
- 92-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.35 Units / 7.76% ROI
Royals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .080 (4-for-50) against Gerrit Cole in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .216 — 98th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .575 (736 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 95th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .195 (52 PA’s) in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .639 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .252 (444 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .322 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (45-for-239) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .242 (16 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees are 79-23 (.775) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 48-10 (.828) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 122-36 (.772) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 35-20 (.636) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals are just 46-48 (.489) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Royals are just 25-107 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Royals are 35-56 (.385) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Royals are just 14-78 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 495 walks in 4,525 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 333 walks in 2,976 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (6,003 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .391 (136 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Royals hitters are slugging just .248 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Royals hitters have just 1,161 strikeouts in 5,982 PA’s (19%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees won just just 14% of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers this season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 464.5
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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