Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

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UCLA guard Amari Bailey, right, dribbles against Sacramento State during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
(AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2024, 11:48 AM
  • Sacramento State (5-12) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Montana State (6-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Montana State / Sacramento State TV channel: ESPN+

The Montana State Bobcats (6-10) visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets (5-12) on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

Sacramento State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Montana State vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Montana State vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Montana State+1.5 -110O 137.5 -115+100
Sacramento State -1.5 -110U 137.5 -105-120

Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Montana State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Montana State vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Montana State will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Montana State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Montana State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has a 6-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5 Units / -28.33% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -8.6% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 5-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.15 Units / -43.7% ROI).

  • 4-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -26.42% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has a 38% free throw rate (1,136 free throw attempts/2,962 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 32%

Montana State has averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Montana State has attempted 1,136 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has 21.0 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 17.9

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (213 rebounds/19 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Sacramento State has 278 turnovers this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (518 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Sacramento State has 518 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has 385 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has 156 steals this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 7.1 steals per game (385 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.7

Montana State has averaged 8.2 steals per game (156 steals/19 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,231 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.2

Sacramento State has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (474 rebounds/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,535 points/2,884 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Sacramento State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,310/2,884) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 45%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.