76ers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -8.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | NSPA

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The 76ers vs Bucks Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 34-30 against the spread, while the Bucks are 28-37 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+76 -110O 218.5 -110+260
Milwaukee Bucks -7.5 -110U 218.5 -110-350

Bucks vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 82.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Bucks.

Bucks vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 away games (+21.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+9.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+9.50 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 34-30 (+0.95 Units / 1.33% ROI).

  • 36-29 against the Moneyline (+1.45 Units / 0.91% ROI)
  • 35-30 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 30-35 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -11.89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 28-37 (-12.7 Units / -17.52% ROI).

  • 42-24 against the Moneyline (-12.2 Units / -5.14% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 73 games (-26.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-20.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 39 games at home (-20.40 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 59 games (-17.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 88 games (-16.35 Units / -11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 54 games (-15.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 47 games (-15.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 36 games (-14.90 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The 76ers were 32-13 (.711) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The 76ers were 32-5 (.865) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

The 76ers were 21-4 (.840) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The 76ers are undefeated (13-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks are 46-17 (.730) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Bucks were 42-21 (.667) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

Injury Report: Bucks vs. 76ersThursday‘s Game, Mar. 14

  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Robert Covington (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Kyle Lowry (Philadelphia 76ers): Rest, Out
  • Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 1.38 points per shot (9,448 points/6,870 shots) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The 76ers are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,418/1,716) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The 76ers have 25.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

The 76ers shot 49% (3,347/6,870) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 1.50 points per shot (958 points/639 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.35

The Bucks have averaged 122.7 points per game (6,626 points/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Bucks shot 74% from the free throw line (1,364/1,837) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 8.7 steals per game (462 steals/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The 76ers allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (118/405) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%

The 76ers have blocked 313 shots this season — 8th most among NBA teams

The 76ers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (313 blocks/53 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (4,607 points/3,889 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.