76ers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat are -2.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 209.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | NSPA

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The 76ers vs Heat Over/Under is 209.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 41-33 against the spread, while the Heat are 35-37 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+76 -105O 209.5 -115+110
Miami Heat -1.5 -115U 209.5 -105-135

Heat vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Thursday‘s game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Heat.

Heat vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.0% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 away games (+20.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 away games (+10.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+10.45 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • No trends found

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 41-33 (+4.65 Units / 5.63% ROI).

  • 40-35 against the Moneyline (+1.6 Units / 0.91% ROI)
  • 39-36 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -0.73% ROI)
  • 36-39 against the Under for game total points (-6.9 Units / -8.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 35-37 (-5.7 Units / -7% ROI).

  • 41-33 against the Moneyline (-1 Units / -0.7% ROI)
  • 28-46 against the Over for game total points (-22.6 Units / -27.76% ROI)
  • 46-28 against the Under for game total points (+15.2 Units / 18.67% ROI)
  • No trends found
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 43 away games (-16.15 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 38 away games (-15.90 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 46 away games (-10.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 42 away games (-10.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 23 away games (-10.15 Units / -39% ROI)

Jump to:

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers were 18-5 (.783) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The 76ers were 21-4 (.840) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The 76ers are 5-2 (.714) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The 76ers were 32-13 (.711) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat were 16-6 (.727) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Heat are 13-1 (.929) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820

The Heat are 16-10 (.615) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat were 12-3 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

Injury Report: Heat vs. 76ersThursday‘s Game, Apr. 4

  • Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
  • Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
  • Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
  • Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
  • Robert Covington (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Kyle Lowry (Philadelphia 76ers): Rest, Out
  • Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (906 turnovers/76 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers averaged 1.38 points per shot (9,448 points/6,870 shots) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The 76ers have averaged 15.7 fast break points per game (1,194 points/76 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The 76ers averaged 1.36 points per shot (4,802 points/3,535 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 5.3 fast break points per game (837 points/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

The Heat have averaged 52.9 points per game (8,305 points/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Heat averaged 109.5 points per game (8,977 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 8.3 steals per game (631 steals/76 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The 76ers allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (118/405) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 34%

The 76ers averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,822 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have 631 steals this season — most among NBA teams

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (256 blocks/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (244 blocks/78 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (500 blocks/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.