76ers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -7.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Philadelphia 76ers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The 76ers vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 32-27 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 32-28 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Sunday‘s game with 82.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 away games (+22.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 88 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 away games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 89 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 away games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 46 games (+16.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+6.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 32-27 (+2.15 Units / 3.31% ROI).

  • 34-25 against the Moneyline (+0.75 Units / 0.49% ROI)
  • 33-26 against the Over for game total points (+4.4 Units / 6.78% ROI)
  • 26-33 against the Under for game total points (-10.25 Units / -15.81% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 32-28 (+1.25 Units / 1.9% ROI).

  • 34-26 against the Moneyline (+1 Units / 0.9% ROI)
  • 30-29 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.87% ROI)
  • 29-30 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -5.92% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 70 games (-28.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 76 games (-24.70 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 38 games at home (-22.85 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 46 games (-21.65 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 19 of their last 53 games (-17.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (-19.70 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 90 games (-16.05 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.00 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 53 games (-14.85 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 73 games (-13.05 Units / -16% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The 76ers are 27-17 (.614) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The 76ers are undefeated (13-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The 76ers were 18-5 (.783) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The 76ers are 68-30 (.694) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Mavericks are 14-5 (.737) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The 76ers have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Mavericks are undefeated (6-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746

The Mavericks were 13-17 (.433) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Mavericks are 7-1 (.875) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. 76ersSunday‘s Game, Mar. 3

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Robert Covington (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out
  • Kyle Lowry (Philadelphia 76ers): Rest, Out
  • Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers): Knee, Out

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (631 turnovers/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,766 points/3,435 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The 76ers averaged 1.38 points per shot (9,448 points/6,870 shots) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (3,474 free throw attempts/11,622 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (157 assists/ 55 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks have averaged 42.4 points in the paint per game (2,796 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (1,002 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 8.7 steals per game (462 steals/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The 76ers stole the ball 635 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams

The 76ers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,804 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,626 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,864 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.