Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 15

  • The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Grizzlies
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Milwaukee Bucks visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 21-33 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 26-29 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-11.5 -115O 223.5 -110-650
Memphis Grizzlies +11.5 -105U 223.5 -110+475

Grizzlies vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 87.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 away games (+12.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 73 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+16.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 21-33 (-15.3 Units / -25.23% ROI).

  • 35-20 against the Moneyline (-6.5 Units / -3.29% ROI)
  • 29-26 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.66% ROI)
  • 26-29 against the Under for game total points (-5.85 Units / -9.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 26-29 (-5.9 Units / -9.74% ROI).

  • 19-36 against the Moneyline (-3.15 Units / -4.82% ROI)
  • 24-31 against the Over for game total points (-10.1 Units / -16.69% ROI)
  • 31-24 against the Under for game total points (+4.6 Units / 7.6% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-25.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-25.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 84 games (-24.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-22.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 73 games (-25.45 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 69 games (-22.30 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 62 games (-21.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 games (-19.50 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.30 Units / -19% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 22-3 (.880) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — 8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Grizzlies are winless (0-18) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Grizzlies were 26-11 (.703) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Grizzlies are 1-20 (.048) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .180

The Grizzlies are 7-34 (.171) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 37% from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-best in the NBA.

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. BucksThursday‘s Game, Feb. 15

  • Ja Morant (Memphis Grizzlies): Shoulder, Out For Season
  • Brandon Clarke (Memphis Grizzlies): Achilles, Out
  • Desmond Bane (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Jake LaRavia (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Out
  • Marcus Smart (Memphis Grizzlies): Finger, Out
  • Ziaire Williams (Memphis Grizzlies): Hand, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Rose (Memphis Grizzlies): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (Memphis Grizzlies): Back, Out
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks averaged 1.4 fast break points per game (88 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,626 points/4,826 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (2,091/4,767) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 43% (943/2,203) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Grizzlies are shooting 44% (1,034/2,329) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,008 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 8.3 steals per game (680 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 8.5 steals per game (559 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Grizzlies averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (3,022 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,835 rebounds/54 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.