Bucks vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Kings Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 28-36 against the spread, while the Kings are 31-31 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+1.5 -115O 236.5 -110-105
Sacramento Kings -1.5 -105U 236.5 -110-115

Kings vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Kings.

Kings vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 28 away games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 28-36 (-11.6 Units / -16.25% ROI).

  • 42-23 against the Moneyline (-11.2 Units / -4.74% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.3 Units / -6.01% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.08% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 31-31 (-3.05 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 36-27 against the Moneyline (-19.55 Units / -13.75% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.14% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -8.95% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games at home (-41.35 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-22.00 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-17.35 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 67 games (-15.55 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 81 games (-15.10 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (-30.15 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 72 games (-25.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-19.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 39 away games (-18.95 Units / -42% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 28-2 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks are 16-3 (.842) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are 27-17 (.614) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The Kings are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Kings vs. BucksTuesday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have 25.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Bucks have averaged 48.9 points in the paint per game (2,642 points/54 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.7

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings shot 50% (1,722/3,452) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (203 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (478 blocks/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (247 blocks/69 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.