Bucks vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Bucks (48-19) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Kings (40-26)
  • Total (Over/Under): 244.5 points
  • Monday, March 13, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Kings Over/Under is 244.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 36-27 against the spread, while the Kings are 37-29 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-1.5 -115O 244.5 -110-125
Sacramento Kings +1.5 -105U 244.5 -110+105

Kings vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

Kings vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Kings, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 58 of their last 90 games (+22.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 77 games (+17.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 84 games (+15.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 56 games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.68 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 36-27 (+6.3 Units / 8.55% ROI).

  • 48-19 against the Moneyline (+15.05 Units / 8.81% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -8.82% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 37-29 (+5.1 Units / 7.02% ROI).

  • 40-26 against the Moneyline (+6.55 Units / 5.52% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 79 games (-24.97 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.11 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 73 games (-21.65 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.19 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 47 games (-18.32 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-31.85 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 89 games (-28.16 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.09 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 89 games (-24.61 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 39 away games (-19.80 Units / -46% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Milwaukee Bucks are 35-7 (.833) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 40.5 rebounds per game (2,513 rebounds/62 games) this season — third-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bucks are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Milwaukee Bucks are 77-15 (.837) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 41.5 rebounds per game (5,983 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Kings are 3-34 (.081) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231

The Kings are 34-11 (.756) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .644

The Kings are 27-3 (.900) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753

The Kings are 19-8 (.704) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

Injury Report: Kings vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Sacramento Kings – No Injuries Reported
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Sacramento.
  • Wesley Matthews (Bucks): Matthews is probable for Monday’s (Mar. 13) game against Sacramento.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (522 points/62 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bucks have averaged 43.4 points in the paint per game (1,302 points/30 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Bucks shot 39% from three (1,038/2,669) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 117.0 points per game (25,268 points/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 120.8 points per game (7,009 points/58 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Kings have a TS% of 52% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Kings are shooting 51% (390/767) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%

The Kings have an eFG% of 57% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,056 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,332 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Bucks have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Bucks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (405 steals/62 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (194 blocks/58 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (563 blocks/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (289 blocks/69 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings have averaged 7.1 steals per game (999 steals/140 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.