Bucks vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | SPEC | WMLW

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Lakers Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 27-35 against the spread, while the Lakers are 29-36 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-2.5 -110O 232.5 -115-140
Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 -110U 232.5 -105+115

Lakers vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Lakers.

Lakers vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games (+13.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 84 games (+22.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games at home (+13.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 27-35 (-11.5 Units / -16.55% ROI).

  • 41-22 against the Moneyline (-9.95 Units / -4.33% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Over for game total points (-6.3 Units / -9.08% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Under for game total points (+0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 29-36 (-10.65 Units / -14.88% ROI).

  • 35-30 against the Moneyline (+7 Units / 5.56% ROI)
  • 34-30 against the Over for game total points (+1 Units / 1.4% ROI)
  • 30-34 against the Under for game total points (-7.45 Units / -10.41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 84 games (-31.40 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 41 games (-19.85 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 98 games (-19.45 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 48 games (-18.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 91 games (-18.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 81 games (-28.90 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-23.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 70 games (-20.45 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Bucks are 19-3 (.864) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 32-2 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Bucks are 25-4 (.862) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Lakers have averaged 50.9 rebounds/game this season — T-10th-lowest in the NBA.

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Lakers are 3-9 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Lakers are 11-1 (.917) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The Lakers are 5-21 (.192) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .404

Injury Report: Lakers vs. BucksFriday‘s Game, Mar. 8

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Cam Reddish (Los Angeles Lakers): Ankle, Out
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Foot, Out
  • Christian Wood (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.43 points per shot (3,321 points/2,322 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have 25.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Bucks averaged 14.4 second chance points per game (1,180 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 4.4 second chance points per game (237 points/54 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 17.0 fast break points per game (2,318 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Lakers have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (541 points/54 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,008 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (426 steals/54 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Lakers have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,107 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers averaged 6.4 steals per game (526 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.