Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Bucks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 245.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSW+ | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Mavericks Over/Under is 246.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 18-29 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 24-24 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-4.5 -115O 246.5 -115-190
Dallas Mavericks +4.5 -105U 246.5 -105+155

Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Bucks and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 away games (+15.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 18-29 (-13.95 Units / -26.32% ROI).

  • 32-16 against the Moneyline (-3.7 Units / -2.15% ROI)
  • 28-20 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 11.35% ROI)
  • 20-28 against the Under for game total points (-10.75 Units / -20.38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 24-24 (-2.35 Units / -4.46% ROI).

  • 26-22 against the Moneyline (-2.7 Units / -3.15% ROI)
  • 25-22 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.51% ROI)
  • 22-25 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -10.25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 73 games (-36.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 72 games (-22.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-20.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (-22.65 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-20.95 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-20.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 72 games (-19.80 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 51-21 (.708) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Bucks were 32-2 (.941) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Mavericks are undefeated (5-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .746

The Mavericks are 16-7 (.696) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Mavericks were 13-24 (.351) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Mavericks were 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. BucksSaturday‘s Game, Feb. 3

  • Dante Exum (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Dallas Mavericks): Wrist, Game Time Decision
  • Kyrie Irving (Dallas Mavericks): Thumb, Game Time Decision
  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.44 points per shot (2,992 points/2,085 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have averaged 1.38 points per shot (5,946 points/4,305 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (141 assists/ 48 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (423 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,048 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,794 rebounds/48 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (208 blocks/48 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Mavericks have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,393 rebounds/130 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.