Bucks vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -13.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 16-24 against the spread, while the Pistons are 17-23 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+ +O Not Found ++
Detroit Pistons + +U Not Found ++

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 92.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Bucks and Pistons, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pistons vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 73 games (+13.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+10.70 Units / 89% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-24 (-10.45 Units / -23.07% ROI).

  • 28-13 against the Moneyline (+0.2 Units / 0.14% ROI)
  • 25-16 against the Over for game total points (+7.4 Units / 16.39% ROI)
  • 16-25 against the Under for game total points (-11.45 Units / -25.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 17-23 (-8.2 Units / -18.22% ROI).

  • 4-37 against the Moneyline (-32.1 Units / -75.98% ROI)
  • 25-15 against the Over for game total points (+8.5 Units / 18.85% ROI)
  • 15-25 against the Under for game total points (-12.5 Units / -27.72% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 73 games (-55.75 Units / -73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 73 games (-26.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 75 games (-21.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 74 games (-21.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 73 games (-20.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 67 games (-23.25 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 48 games (-19.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (-18.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games (-18.75 Units / -8% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 27-10 (.730) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 122.6 points per game this season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 21-2 (.913) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — 6th-worst in the NBA.

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pistons are 4-59 (.063) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 2-25 (.074) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 10-33 (.233) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Pistons vs. BucksSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 20

  • Joe Harris (Detroit Pistons): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Monte Morris (Detroit Pistons): Quadriceps, Out
  • Jared Rhoden (Detroit Pistons): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 63.0 points per game (2,581 points/41 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Bucks have averaged 1.44 points per shot (2,581 points/1,792 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks are shooting 50% (803/1,601) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,426 assists/ 957 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have averaged 16.0 turnovers per game (655 turnovers/41 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,778 rebounds/123 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,524 rebounds/41 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Bucks forced 11.8 turnovers per game (482 turnovers/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.1 steals per game (250 steals/41 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (5,027 points/3,682 shots) this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.30

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,409 rebounds/41 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.