Bucks vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 247.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Pistons Over/Under is 247.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 16-25 against the spread, while the Pistons are 18-23 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-12.5 -110O 247.5 -110-900
Detroit Pistons +12.5 -110U 247.5 -110+600

Pistons vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 86.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Bucks and Pistons, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pistons vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+17.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+13.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+12.90 Units / 99% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-25 (-11.55 Units / -24.89% ROI).

  • 29-13 against the Moneyline (+1.2 Units / 0.78% ROI)
  • 26-16 against the Over for game total points (+8.4 Units / 18.16% ROI)
  • 16-26 against the Under for game total points (-12.55 Units / -27.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 18-23 (-7.2 Units / -15.62% ROI).

  • 4-38 against the Moneyline (-33.1 Units / -76.53% ROI)
  • 26-15 against the Over for game total points (+9.5 Units / 20.56% ROI)
  • 15-26 against the Under for game total points (-13.6 Units / -29.44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 74 games (-56.75 Units / -73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 74 games (-25.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 76 games (-22.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 75 games (-22.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 68 games (-24.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 49 games (-22.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-21.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 20 of their last 56 games (-18.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.50 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Bucks are 18-2 (.900) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 51.0 rebounds/game this season — 9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks are 28-10 (.737) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 123.0 points per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 13-1 (.929) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 8-73 (.099) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

The Pistons were 6-30 (.167) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pistons are 4-60 (.062) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Injury Report: Pistons vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Jan. 22

  • Joe Harris (Detroit Pistons): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Monte Morris (Detroit Pistons): Quadriceps, Out
  • Jared Rhoden (Detroit Pistons): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,652 points/1,831 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 63.1 points per game (2,652 points/42 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.3

The Bucks have an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons averaged 110.3 points per game (9,045 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,821 rebounds/124 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (272 steals/42 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Bucks allowed an eFG% of 52% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.1 steals per game (256 steals/42 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pistons have allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (5,168 points/3,767 shots) this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.