Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors (16-21) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Bucks (24-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Wednesday, January 4, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on ESPN & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Raptors Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 19-16 against the spread, while the Raptors are 18-19 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+5.5 -115O 225.5 -110+165
Toronto Raptors -5.5 -105U 225.5 -110-200

Raptors vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Wednesday‘s game with 55.1% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 60 games (+20.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 92 games (+17.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.16 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.47 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 92 games (+20.42 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 55 games (+13.11 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 92 games (+13.02 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.82 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1H Spread in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 19-16 (+1.4 Units / 3.44% ROI).

  • 24-13 against the Moneyline (+0.95 Units / 1.05% ROI)
  • 19-18 against the Over for game total points (-0.8 Units / -1.97% ROI)
  • 18-19 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 18-19 (-2.9 Units / -7.13% ROI).

  • 16-21 against the Moneyline (-13.25 Units / -19.72% ROI)
  • 19-17 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.74% ROI)
  • 17-19 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.58% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (-23.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 90 games (-18.27 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 91 games (-17.63 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 89 games (-17.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 70 games (-15.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (-33.24 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 60 games (-26.15 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (-25.32 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 92 games (-23.44 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.57 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Raptors vs. BucksWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 4

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): Raptors coach Nick Nurse said Porter Jr. could return in about a month.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Washington.
  • George Hill (Bucks): Hill did not play in Tuesday’s (Jan. 3) game against Washington.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.