Bucks vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Bucks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | RTNW | BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 18-28 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 22-25 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-10.5 -110O 236.5 -105-550
Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 -110U 236.5 -115+400

Trail Blazers vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.7% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Bucks and Trail Blazers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Trail Blazers vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 away games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 79 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 52 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 18-28 (-12.85 Units / -24.76% ROI).

  • 32-15 against the Moneyline (+1.1 Units / 0.66% ROI)
  • 28-19 against the Over for game total points (+7.1 Units / 13.72% ROI)
  • 19-28 against the Under for game total points (-11.75 Units / -22.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 22-25 (-5.4 Units / -10.5% ROI).

  • 14-33 against the Moneyline (+1.55 Units / 3.11% ROI)
  • 21-26 against the Over for game total points (-7.6 Units / -14.69% ROI)
  • 26-21 against the Under for game total points (+2.95 Units / 5.71% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 64 games (-17.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 46 games (-17.45 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 60 games (-16.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 79 games (-16.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 48 games (-16.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 73 games (-23.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 54 games (-20.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 22 of their last 61 games (-19.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-19.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.10 Units / -21% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Bucks are 21-2 (.913) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Trail Blazers have averaged 51.0 rebounds/game this season — T-9th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Trail Blazers are 2-10 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have shot 38% from three this season — T-5th-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 2-5 (.286) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — 5th-highest in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 9-17 (.346) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Trail Blazers are 3-38 (.073) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .209

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. BucksWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 31

  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.44 points per shot (2,941 points/2,043 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 62.6 points per game (2,941 points/47 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Bucks have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.0

The Bucks have averaged 1.38 points per shot (2,564 points/1,864 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,062 assists/ 706 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.22 points per shot (2,510 points/2,065 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (546 assists/ 377 TOs) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (1,850/4,228) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,016 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (4,607 points/3,889 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,516 rebounds/47 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,254 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 24% from three (45/191) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.