Bulls vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBCH | BSSE

The Chicago Bulls visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Bulls vs Hawks Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 27-25 against the spread, while the Hawks are 17-36 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+3.5 -110O 237.5 -105+135
Atlanta Hawks -3.5 -110U 237.5 -115-160

Hawks vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Monday‘s game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Hawks.

Hawks vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bulls will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 73 games (+18.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 73 games (+16.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 78 games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 60 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+16.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 27-25 (-0.5 Units / -0.86% ROI).

  • 25-28 against the Moneyline (-1.95 Units / -2.54% ROI)
  • 28-24 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 2.74% ROI)
  • 24-28 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -11.66% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 17-36 (-22.55 Units / -38.75% ROI).

  • 24-29 against the Moneyline (-11 Units / -12.8% ROI)
  • 29-23 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 6.35% ROI)
  • 23-29 against the Under for game total points (-8.9 Units / -15.27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 85 games (-30.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 47 games (-22.05 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 84 games (-22.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 43 games at home (-21.55 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-23.45 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-19.25 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 64 games (-18.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 73 games (-12.90 Units / -13% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Bulls are 1-24 (.040) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .181

The Bulls were 11-16 (.407) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Bulls are 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bulls were 15-31 (.326) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 8-1 (.889) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Hawks were 5-21 (.192) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Hawks are 7-20 (.259) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .350

Injury Report: Hawks vs. BullsMonday‘s Game, Feb. 12

  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Dejounte Murray (Atlanta Hawks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Vit Krejci (Atlanta Hawks): Shoulder, Out
  • Bruno Fernando (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • De’Andre Hunter (Atlanta Hawks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Heel, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Ankle, Out
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (293 turnovers/53 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,120 points/53 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

The Bulls have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (659 turnovers/53 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks shot 35% from three (882/2,505) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,049 assists/ 1,060 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks averaged 14.9 second chance points per game (612 points/41 games) at home last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have averaged 7.8 steals per game (412 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Bulls have allowed 44.2 points in the paint per game (2,344 points/53 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.7

The Bulls averaged 7.9 steals per game (644 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,797 rebounds/53 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have allowed 17.7 fast break points per game (479 points/27 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have 408 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (639 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.