Bulls vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings are -6.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | NBCH

The Chicago Bulls visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Bulls vs Kings Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 31-28 against the spread, while the Kings are 30-28 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+7.5 -115O 228.5 -115+225
Sacramento Kings -7.5 -105U 228.5 -105-275

Kings vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Monday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Kings.

Kings vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.9% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 80 games (+17.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 80 games (+15.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 44 of their last 71 games (+14.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 71 games (+6.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 31-28 (+0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI).

  • 28-32 against the Moneyline (-4.6 Units / -5.25% ROI)
  • 31-28 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI)
  • 28-31 against the Under for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 30-28 (-0.9 Units / -1.38% ROI).

  • 34-25 against the Moneyline (-15.65 Units / -12.19% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.46% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -9.25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games at home (-36.25 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 86 games (-18.75 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games at home (-16.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 63 games (-14.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-21.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 79 games (-17.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 23 games (-13.60 Units / -51% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Bulls are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Bulls are 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Bulls were 24-6 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Bulls were 10-16 (.385) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Kings are 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are undefeated (9-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .819

The Kings were 23-12 (.657) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Kings vs. BullsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 4

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,142 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (459 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings have a TS% of 53% this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls stole the ball 644 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have 418 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,062 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (203 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have allowed 6.9 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/52 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.4

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (231 blocks/65 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.