Bulls vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | NBCH

The Chicago Bulls visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Bulls vs Pacers Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 32-31 against the spread, while the Pacers are 35-29 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+4.5 -110O 228.5 -105+150
Indiana Pacers -4.5 -110U 228.5 -115-185

Pacers vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Wednesday‘s game with 67.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Pacers.

Pacers vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+11.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 away games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games (+18.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 32-31 (-2.1 Units / -2.94% ROI).

  • 31-34 against the Moneyline (-0.6 Units / -0.64% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Over for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -8.81% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 35-29 (+3.1 Units / 4.21% ROI).

  • 37-30 against the Moneyline (-1.75 Units / -1.44% ROI)
  • 32-33 against the Over for game total points (-4.35 Units / -5.99% ROI)
  • 33-32 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.03% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 56 games (-28.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 40 games (-24.05 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.00 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.75 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-20.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 65 games (-17.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 72 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bulls are 25-8 (.758) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 121.3 points per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Bulls are 5-17 (.227) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Pacers have shot 38% from three this season — 6th-best in the NBA.

The Bulls were 24-6 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Bulls are 14-8 (.636) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Pacers are 18-7 (.720) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 14.4 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 20-6 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Pacers were 18-26 (.409) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers were 14-29 (.326) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

Injury Report: Pacers vs. BullsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,142 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls averaged 4.9 second chance points per game (400 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls made 10.4 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers are shooting 51% (2,575/5,066) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pacers have averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (1,249 points/137 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,062 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Bulls have 418 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls allowed 11.6 second chance points per game (476 points/41 games) on the road last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (318 blocks/55 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.