Bulls vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Warriors are -7.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | NBCH

The Chicago Bulls visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Bulls vs Warriors Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bulls are 32-29 against the spread, while the Warriors are 34-26 against the spread.


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Bulls vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Chicago Bulls+7.5 -105O 223.5 -115+275
Golden State Warriors -7.5 -115U 223.5 -105-350

Warriors vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Thursday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bulls and Warriors.

Warriors vs Bulls Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+16.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 81 games (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 away games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games (+16.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 32-29 (+0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI).

  • 30-32 against the Moneyline (-1.6 Units / -1.77% ROI)
  • 32-29 against the Over for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.15% ROI)
  • 29-32 against the Under for game total points (-6.2 Units / -9.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 34-26 (+5.4 Units / 8.04% ROI).

  • 33-28 against the Moneyline (-0.4 Units / -0.34% ROI)
  • 30-31 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -6.11% ROI)
  • 31-30 against the Under for game total points (-2.05 Units / -3.05% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-18.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-16.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 91 games (-15.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 74 games (-15.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 27 games (-15.10 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-23.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-21.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-17.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 25 games (-16.05 Units / -55% ROI)

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Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Bulls are 10-20 (.333) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-10th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 55.3 rebounds/game this season — highest in the NBA.

The Bulls are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169

The Bulls are 8-18 (.308) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Bulls are 6-31 (.162) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .246

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Warriors are 54-23 (.701) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have averaged 50.2 rebounds/game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-8th-lowest in the NBA.

The Warriors are 16-4 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675

The Warriors are 7-9 (.438) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors were 26-6 (.812) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733

Injury Report: Warriors vs. BullsThursday‘s Game, Mar. 7

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Torrey Craig (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out
  • Lonzo Ball (Chicago Bulls): Knee, Out For Season
  • Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season
  • Patrick Williams (Chicago Bulls): Foot, Out For Season

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 21.1 points in the paint per game (1,142 points/54 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Bulls averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (866 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (752 points/136 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bulls have averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/54 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,958 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have 418 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Bulls have allowed 44.4 points in the paint per game (2,400 points/54 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.7

The Bulls have averaged 7.8 steals per game (1,062 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,870 rebounds/51 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (211 blocks/51 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors have averaged 6.8 steals per game (463 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.