Cavaliers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 24, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSWI | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Cavaliers vs Bucks Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 22-17 against the spread, while the Bucks are 16-26 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+6.5 -105O 236.5 -105+230
Milwaukee Bucks -6.5 -115U 236.5 -115-275

Bucks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Wednesday‘s game with 71.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Cavaliers and Bucks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Bucks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games (+20.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+20.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 75 games (+13.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+11.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+9.30 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 22-17 (+3.45 Units / 7.68% ROI).

  • 26-15 against the Moneyline (+10 Units / 13.52% ROI)
  • 19-21 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -9.08% ROI)
  • 21-19 against the Under for game total points (+0.15 Units / 0.33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 16-26 (-12.65 Units / -26.63% ROI).

  • 30-13 against the Moneyline (+2.2 Units / 1.37% ROI)
  • 26-17 against the Over for game total points (+7.3 Units / 15.42% ROI)
  • 17-26 against the Under for game total points (-11.55 Units / -24.44% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-23.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-22.05 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Spread in 20 of their last 57 games (-19.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 74 games (-18.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 80 games (-30.20 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-16.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 games (-13.50 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 53 games (-13.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 36 away games (-13.30 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers were 17-10 (.630) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers were 8-1 (.889) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Cavaliers were 10-23 (.303) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Bucks were 51-21 (.708) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Bucks vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 24

  • Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
  • Ricky Rubio (Cleveland Cavaliers): Personal, Out
  • Caris LeVert (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 54.3 points per game (4,449 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers had 22.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Cavaliers averaged 3.6 second chance points per game (228 points/63 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 52% this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,716 points/1,879 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 63.2 points per game (2,716 points/43 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.3

The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Bucks have averaged 124.6 points per game (5,356 points/43 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers allowed 108.8 points per game (4,460 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,485 rebounds/41 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,862 rebounds/125 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks allowed a TS% of 49% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Bucks averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.