Cavaliers vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 07, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -11.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 209.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Celtics Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 41-45 against the spread, while the Celtics are 45-37 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+12.5 -110O 210.5 -105+500
Boston Celtics -12.5 -110U 210.5 -115-700

Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 82.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Celtics.

Celtics vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 away games (+15.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 81 games (+9.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 62 of their last 90 games (+30.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 35 games (+24.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 80 games (+23.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 68 games (+21.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 90 games (+17.85 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 41-45 (-8.5 Units / -8.68% ROI).

  • 52-37 against the Moneyline (-3.95 Units / -1.83% ROI)
  • 43-45 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -6.64% ROI)
  • 45-43 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -2.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 45-37 (+4.3 Units / 4.49% ROI).

  • 68-19 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 0.42% ROI)
  • 45-41 against the Over for game total points (-0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI)
  • 41-45 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -8.88% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 82 games (-34.60 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 74 games (-22.35 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 95 games (-21.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 52 games (-18.70 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 22 games (-18.60 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 86 games (-26.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 83 games (-23.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 38 games (-22.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-21.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-18.55 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

Keys to the game – away

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Celtics are 40-9 (.816) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Celtics were 44-17 (.721) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Celtics are 19-7 (.731) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Celtics vs. CavaliersTuesday‘s Game, May 7

  • Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Derrick White (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Craig Porter Jr. (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers): Neck, Game Time Decision
  • Dean Wade (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Caris LeVert (Cleveland Cavaliers): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Darius Garland (Cleveland Cavaliers): Back, Game Time Decision

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,043 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Cavaliers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,045 assists/ 1,094 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,269 rebounds/82 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Cavaliers averaged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 1,351 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers allowed 105.0 points per game (4,304 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 113.4

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

Home Team Defense Stories


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.