Cavaliers vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Hawks Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 30-29 against the spread, while the Hawks are 20-41 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+2.5 -110O 215.5 -115+115
Atlanta Hawks -2.5 -110U 215.5 -105-140

Hawks vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Hawks.

Hawks vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 36 games (+19.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+16.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+16.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 24 away games (+15.50 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 73 games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 30-29 (-1.8 Units / -2.69% ROI).

  • 40-21 against the Moneyline (+12.6 Units / 8.96% ROI)
  • 26-34 against the Over for game total points (-11.4 Units / -16.98% ROI)
  • 34-26 against the Under for game total points (+5.45 Units / 8.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 20-41 (-25 Units / -37.34% ROI).

  • 27-34 against the Moneyline (-17.4 Units / -17.59% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 3.43% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Under for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 76 games (-31.00 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 76 games (-27.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 16 of their last 55 games (-26.45 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-21.55 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 36 games (-21.90 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-21.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 73 games (-20.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 27 games (-19.30 Units / -65% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 73 games (-19.10 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 16-5 (.762) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 14.2 made three-pointers per game this season — T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Cavaliers are 31-12 (.721) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490

The Cavaliers are 21-8 (.724) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Hawks are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .793

The Hawks are 8-14 (.364) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Hawks are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089

The Hawks are 1-3 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

Injury Report: Hawks vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 6

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 112.3 points per game (9,205 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers averaged 54.3 points per game (4,449 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers averaged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Cavaliers had an eFG% of 56% last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 118.4 points per game (9,711 points/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks have averaged 16.1 second chance points per game (867 points/54 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,049 assists/ 1,060 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (973/2,191) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed 17.4 fast break points per game (486 points/28 games) at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have 412 steals this season — tied for 10th most among NBA teams

The Hawks have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (4,695 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (642 blocks/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.