Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -6.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Pacers Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 33-31 against the spread, while the Pacers are 36-30 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+6.5 -110O 224.5 -105+220
Indiana Pacers -6.5 -110U 224.5 -115-275

Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Monday‘s game with 78.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pacers.

Pacers vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 77 games (+20.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 59 games (+14.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+13.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 away games (+13.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 26 away games (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 42 games (+18.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 33-31 (-1.1 Units / -1.49% ROI).

  • 42-25 against the Moneyline (+8.75 Units / 5.83% ROI)
  • 30-36 against the Over for game total points (-9.6 Units / -13.03% ROI)
  • 36-30 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 4.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 36-30 (+3 Units / 3.95% ROI).

  • 38-31 against the Moneyline (-2.8 Units / -2.21% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Over for game total points (-4.45 Units / -5.95% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.08% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 58 games (-26.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 42 games (-24.10 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 78 games (-19.95 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 79 games (-31.00 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 33 games (-18.80 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-18.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-17.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 26 away games (-16.95 Units / -57% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 13-3 (.812) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Cavaliers are 25-6 (.806) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Cavaliers were 28-16 (.636) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pacers are 2-7 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers were 16-20 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Pacers are 8-8 (.500) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

Injury Report: Pacers vs. CavaliersMonday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (466 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers shot 49% (3,408/6,984) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.4 second chance points per game (802 points/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Cavaliers had an eFG% of 56% last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 18.1 fast break points per game (1,481 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have allowed an eFG% of 51% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers allowed an eFG% of 49% in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (318 blocks/55 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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