Cavaliers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Pelicans are -6.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSNO | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 32-30 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 35-27 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+5.5 -110O 217.5 -110+185
New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 -110U 217.5 -110-225

Pelicans vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 80 games (+20.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 away games (+14.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 57 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 24 away games (+13.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 78 games (+36.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+17.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games (+14.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.70 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 32-30 (-1 Units / -1.4% ROI).

  • 41-24 against the Moneyline (+8.85 Units / 6.01% ROI)
  • 29-35 against the Over for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.29% ROI)
  • 35-29 against the Under for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 35-27 (+5.3 Units / 7.53% ROI).

  • 39-25 against the Moneyline (+8.25 Units / 6.08% ROI)
  • 28-36 against the Over for game total points (-11.6 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • 36-28 against the Under for game total points (+5.2 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-24.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-18.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 20 games (-13.80 Units / -62% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 37 games at home (-11.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 82 games (-32.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 31 games (-18.60 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 72 games (-17.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 24 away games (-16.80 Units / -61% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 16-6 (.727) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Cavaliers were 17-10 (.630) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers were 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pelicans were 2-16 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Pelicans are 22-9 (.710) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Pelicans are 14-3 (.824) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Pelicans are 22-8 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 13

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,043 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Cavaliers had 22.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Cavaliers had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,045 assists/ 1,094 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Cavaliers shot 49% (3,408/6,984) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (655/1,731) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have 24.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (6,272 points/4,740 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have allowed an eFG% of 51% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.7 steals per game (398 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (973/2,191) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (352/1,087) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have 448 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.