Cavaliers vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | BSOH

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT in Houston, TX.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Cavaliers vs Rockets Over/Under is Not Found total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 33-30 against the spread, while the Rockets are 35-29 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+ +O Not Found ++
Houston Rockets + +U Not Found ++

Rockets vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Saturday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Rockets.

Rockets vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 81 games (+19.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 58 games (+16.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 away games (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+14.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+12.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 33-30 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 42-24 against the Moneyline (+10.7 Units / 7.22% ROI)
  • 29-36 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -14.6% ROI)
  • 36-29 against the Under for game total points (+4.1 Units / 5.65% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 35-29 (+3.1 Units / 4.27% ROI).

  • 31-35 against the Moneyline (+1.3 Units / 1.34% ROI)
  • 29-36 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -14.59% ROI)
  • 36-29 against the Under for game total points (+4.15 Units / 5.72% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-16.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 78 games (-14.10 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-13.90 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 55 games (-13.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 81 games (-30.85 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 32 games (-19.80 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 78 games (-19.60 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 73 games (-18.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 25 away games (-17.95 Units / -63% ROI)

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 25-6 (.806) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Cavaliers are 14-2 (.875) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Cavaliers are 7-2 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets are winless (0-13) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .369

Injury Report: Rockets vs. CavaliersSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 16

  • Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
  • Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (466 points/52 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.9 fast break points per game (829 points/52 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Cavaliers averaged 112.3 points per game (9,205 points/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have 20.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.7

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets averaged 8.1 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 108.8 points per game (4,460 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,943 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.