Cavaliers vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 03, 2024, 6:39 PM
  • The Suns are -5.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | BSOH | KTVK

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Cavaliers vs Suns Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 35-37 against the spread, while the Suns are 30-42 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+5.5 -110O 226.5 -110+180
Phoenix Suns -5.5 -110U 226.5 -110-225

Suns vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Wednesday‘s game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Suns.

Suns vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 61.4% confidence.


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  • No trends found
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+14.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 35-37 (-5.7 Units / -6.91% ROI).

  • 45-30 against the Moneyline (+4.05 Units / 2.41% ROI)
  • 36-38 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.03% ROI)
  • 38-36 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.94% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 30-42 (-16.2 Units / -19.9% ROI).

  • 43-31 against the Moneyline (-9.05 Units / -4.81% ROI)
  • 33-40 against the Over for game total points (-11.05 Units / -13.57% ROI)
  • 40-33 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 4.55% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 43 games at home (-21.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 46 games at home (-18.80 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.15 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 29 games at home (-14.85 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games at home (-14.30 Units / -15% ROI)
  • No trends found

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Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers are 24-8 (.750) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Cavaliers were 14-11 (.560) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Cavaliers are 11-13 (.458) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .465

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Suns were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Suns are 20-3 (.870) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Suns are 16-9 (.640) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Injury Report: Suns vs. CavaliersWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 3

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 3.6 second chance points per game (228 points/63 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Cavaliers averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,043 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/76 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Cavaliers averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (461 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,861 points/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Suns have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (871 points/157 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Suns are shooting 49% (3,203/6,467) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,717 rebounds/76 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (358 blocks/76 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,732 rebounds/75 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (890 blocks/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Suns allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (1,283 points/894 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.