Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 22, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 207.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSN | BSOH | NBAt

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 207.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Cavaliers are 34-32 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 35-33 against the spread.


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Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cleveland Cavaliers+7.5 -115O 207.5 -115+240
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -105U 207.5 -105-300

Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Cavaliers and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.1% confidence.


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  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+19.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 away games (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+13.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 away games (+13.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games at home (+17.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 43 games (+16.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 34-32 (-1.2 Units / -1.58% ROI).

  • 43-26 against the Moneyline (+9.45 Units / 6.2% ROI)
  • 31-37 against the Over for game total points (-9.7 Units / -12.78% ROI)
  • 37-31 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 3.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 35-33 (-1.4 Units / -1.84% ROI).

  • 47-22 against the Moneyline (+4.15 Units / 1.96% ROI)
  • 35-34 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -3.16% ROI)
  • 34-35 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -5.93% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-27.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-24.75 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games at home (-21.45 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 74 games (-18.85 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 81 games (-31.15 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games (-19.05 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-17.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-16.85 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Cavaliers are 29-8 (.784) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Cavaliers were 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Cavaliers were 1-15 (.062) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Cavaliers were 10-23 (.303) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Timberwolves were 16-2 (.889) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Timberwolves are 20-1 (.952) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Timberwolves are 39-17 (.696) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

The Timberwolves were 17-23 (.425) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. CavaliersFriday‘s Game, Mar. 22

  • Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have made 13.7 three-pointers per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Cavaliers averaged 3.6 second chance points per game (228 points/63 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Cavaliers averaged 54.3 points per game (4,449 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.2 second chance points per game (546 points/36 games) at home this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 47% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Timberwolves have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,821 assists/ 982 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Timberwolves averaged 54.2 points in the paint per game (4,446 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Timberwolves have 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,508 rebounds/69 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have allowed an eFG% of 51% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 47% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 49% at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves averaged 5.4 blocks per game (444 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.