- The Bucks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Celtics
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT
The Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Celtics vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Celtics are 18-17 against the spread, while the Bucks are 15-21 against the spread.
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Celtics vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Bucks vs Celtics Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Celtics and Bucks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.
Bucks vs Celtics Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Celtics Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 55 of their last 86 games (+23.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 66 of their last 86 games (+22.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+15.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 41 games (+13.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 52 of their last 78 games (+9.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 18-17 (-0.65 Units / -1.6% ROI).
- 29-8 against the Moneyline (+13.35 Units / 9.08% ROI)
- 21-16 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 8.35% ROI)
- 16-21 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -17.44% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 15-21 (-8.2 Units / -20.02% ROI).
- 25-12 against the Moneyline (-1.8 Units / -1.37% ROI)
- 23-14 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units / 18.65% ROI)
- 14-23 against the Under for game total points (-11.25 Units / -27.68% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-23.05 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 61 games (-20.95 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 55 games (-20.75 Units / -9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 68 games (-19.75 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 44 games (-19.00 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Celtics:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 98 games (-26.35 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 95 games (-21.20 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 60 games (-20.00 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 90 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (-16.50 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Celtics were 22-1 (.957) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Celtics are 27-5 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567
The Celtics are 13-4 (.765) when they win the turnover margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Celtics were 25-9 (.735) when they win the turnover margin last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Injury Report: Bucks vs. Celtics – Thursday‘s Game, Jan. 11
- Jae Crowder (Milwaukee Bucks): Groin, Out
- Pat Connaughton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
- Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Celtics have made 16.5 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 1.45 points per shot (2,332 points/1,608 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Bucks have averaged 63.0 points per game (2,332 points/37 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4
The Bucks are shooting 51% (765/1,506) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,591 points/3,309 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,545 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Celtics have averaged 6.4 blocks per game (236 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,433 rebounds/37 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 38.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,625 rebounds/119 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks allowed a TS% of 49% on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
The Bucks averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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